Thứ Tư, 15 tháng 5, 2013

Final day drama: what's up for grabs

Arsenal

Here we come ... Arsenal are confident of a top-four finish. Source: Ian Kington / AFP

Roberto Mancini's sacking marked a year to the day that Manchester City hoisted the Premier League trophy in the most extraordinary circumstances.

But one year on, we’re heading into a final day where the equation is not quite as titillating as it was when Manchester City slugged it out with Queens Park Rangers last term.

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The title is sorted. Manchester United have already been out on the town, revelling in the afterglow of Fergie’s farewell. Three clubs are already condemned to the drop. Mid-table spots just need sorting for prize money. 

But there’s one fascinating battle sit to be decided. 

Who will join United and City in the UEFA Champions League? 

Arsene Wenger, gunning for Arsenal's 16th straight progression into Europe, is back in pole position after drubbing Wigan on Wednesday (EST), sitting on 70 points ahead of Tottenham on 69. 

If they beat Newcastle United on Sunday, it renders Tottenham's clash with Sunderland redundant.

"I am confident because we have experience. We play for a long time under massive pressure and we have always found the solutions with the problems that we have faced…. It’s a big hurdle, but we’re up for it, we can only give our best, we want to be focused," Wenger said. 

"It is all open, but it depends on our result. Even third place is not out of sight if we win the game."

Wenger is right - Chelsea (72 points), Europa League finalists on Thursday morning, aren't out in the clear either.

And of all the permutations that could take place on Sunday, one could have remarkable repercussions. 

PWDLGDPts
1Man United3728454388
2Man City3723953378
3Chelsea3721973572
4Arsenal37201073470
5Tottenham3720981969
6Everton37161561663
7Liverpool37151392758
8West Brom3714617-448
9Swansea37111313-146
10West Ham37111016-1043
11Stoke3791414-1141
12Norwich3791414-1841
13Newcastle3711818-2241
14Southampton3791315-1140
15Fulham37101017-1340
16Aston Villa37101017-2240
17Sunderland3791216-1239
18Wigan379820-2635
19Reading3761021-2828
20QPR3741320-2925

Should Rafa Benitez's side and David Moyes's Everton labour to a 0-0 draw, and Arsenal beat Newcastle 2-1 - both clubs will be tied on third with identical figures. 

Same points (73), goal difference (75), even the same goals for (73) and against (38).

Where teams competing for the title, Europe or relegation are deadlocked in the Premier League, it goes to goal difference, then goals scored. If they can't be split, it's off to a play-off.  

That unfathomable scenario - and it is just those results that would prompt it - could force both teams into a play-off, at a neutral venue, for third spot - the final automatic qualification place available. Fourth spot goes into the Champions League qualification stage, beginning in August. 

Looks like Chelsea might need to rouse themselves for one last hurrah on Sunday night - because friendlies against Manchester City in America in May, and England friendlies, make it almighty difficult to schedule another fixture.

The Premier League isn’t the only league run and won heading into the final stage.

Here’s a look at some of the highlights across Europe and what’s still up for grabs. Keep an eye on Portugal! 


England

Winner: Manchester United

Champions League: Manchester City, 

Europa League: Wigan, Swansea

Relegated: Wigan, Reading, Queens Park Rangers

TBA: Chelsea, Arsenal and Tottenham jostling for final standings in UCL/Europa race.

Bundesliga

Winner: Bayern Munich

Champions League: Borussia Dortmund, Bayer Leverkusen

Relegated: Greuther Fürth

TBA: Hoffenheim, Augsburg, Fortuna Dusseldorf for the relegation and relegation play-off spots; Schalke 04, Freiberg, Eintracht Frankfurt for UCL qualifying spot and Europa League positions. 

La Liga

Winner: Barcelona

Champions League: Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid

Relegated: Mallorca

TBA: Celta da Vigo, Deportivo La Coruna, Real Zaragoza in relegation fight; Real Sociedad and Valencia tied for final UCL qualifying spot. Real Betis will claim Europa League spot due to Malaga's UEFA ban. 

Serie A

Winner: Juventus

Champions League: Napoli

Relegated: Pescara, Siena, Palermo

TBA: Milan and Fiorentina jostling for final UCL qualifying spot/Europa spot; Lazio and Udinese jostling for Europa spot.  

Ligue 1

Winner: Paris Saint Germain

Champions League: Olympique Marseille

Relegated: Brest

TBA: Lille can still knick final UCL qualifying spot from Lyon. Pending results/goal difference, Saint Etienne and Nice can overtake both Lyon/Lille to nab the only Europa League spot. Evian TG, Nancy, Troyes in relegation fight. 

Eredevise

Winner: Ajax

Champions League: PSV

Europa League: Feyenoord, Vitesse

Europa League play-offs: Groningen v Twente; Heerenveen v Utrecht

Relegation: Roda JC, VVV will contest the 'relegation play-off'; Willem II all gone.

Portugal

Champions League: Porto, Benfica

Champions League qualifiers: Paços de Ferreira

TBA: Everything else

Porto lead Europa League finalists Benfica by one point with a game to play; Sporting Braga will nab one Europa League spot, but Estoril, Vitória Guimarães, Rio Ave, Nacional, Marítimo are all in the mix still; Beira-Mar, Moreirense, Olhanense, Gil Vicente and Vitória Setúbal all can be relegated. 


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